๐ Nikola Jokiฤ Era
Denver Nuggets average win probability by quarter ยท All regular seasons 2015-16 to 2025-26
| Season |
Games |
End Q1 |
Halftime |
End Q3 |
End of Game |
| 2017-18 |
82/82 |
51.6% | 52.1% | 55.8% | 56.3% |
| 2018-19 |
82/82 |
61.2% | 58.4% | 57.3% | 64.7% |
| 2019-20 (Bubble) |
72/73 |
57.0% | 54.5% | 58.9% | 62.4% |
| 2020-21 |
72/72 |
63.8% | 64.5% | 61.3% | 63.4% |
| 2021-22 (1st MVP) |
82/82 |
60.6% | 62.1% | 61.9% | 57.6% |
| 2022-23 (Champions ๐) |
82/82 |
61.5% | 59.4% | 59.6% | 62.2% |
| 2023-24 (3rd MVP) |
82/82 |
65.8% | 61.1% | 64.2% | 70.4% |
| 2024-25 |
82/82 |
56.9% | 54.3% | 58.1% | 58.0% |
| 2025-26 (Current) |
59/59 |
59.7% | 61.0% | 66.3% | 62.4% |
Win probability data via ESPN. Pre-game baseline fixed at 50%. End-of-game WP tracks approximately to each season's actual win rate.